▼ Trend: Downtrend
Price is below its 20-, 50- and 200-day averages, each stacked below the next — a classic technical downtrend structure.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | $59.60 (-3.5%) | $61.75 | $63.98 (+3.6%) |
| 3 Months | $58.07 (-6.0%) | $61.75 | $65.67 (+6.3%) |
| 6 Months | $56.60 (-8.3%) | $61.75 | $67.36 (+9.1%) |
| 12 Months | $54.60 (-11.6%) | $61.75 | $69.84 (+13.1%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 12.3%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →