● Trend: Below long-term trend
Price sits below its 200-day average, but the shorter-term averages are not cleanly aligned above/below it.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | 8.47 CAD (-19.1%) | 10.48 CAD | 12.96 CAD (+23.7%) |
| 3 Months | 7.25 CAD (-30.8%) | 10.48 CAD | 15.14 CAD (+44.5%) |
| 6 Months | 6.23 CAD (-40.6%) | 10.48 CAD | 17.64 CAD (+68.3%) |
| 12 Months | 5.02 CAD (-52.1%) | 10.48 CAD | 21.88 CAD (+108.8%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 73.6%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →