▼ Trend: Downtrend
Price is below its 20-, 50- and 200-day averages, each stacked below the next — a classic technical downtrend structure.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | $17.66 (-2.8%) | $18.18 | $18.71 (+2.9%) |
| 3 Months | $17.29 (-4.9%) | $18.18 | $19.11 (+5.1%) |
| 6 Months | $16.94 (-6.8%) | $18.18 | $19.51 (+7.3%) |
| 12 Months | $16.45 (-9.5%) | $18.18 | $20.09 (+10.5%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 10.0%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →