● Trend: Above long-term trend
Price sits above its 200-day average, but the shorter-term averages are not cleanly aligned above/below it.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | 0.31 CAD (-27.8%) | 0.43 CAD | 0.60 CAD (+38.4%) |
| 3 Months | 0.24 CAD (-43.1%) | 0.43 CAD | 0.76 CAD (+75.6%) |
| 6 Months | 0.19 CAD (-54.9%) | 0.43 CAD | 0.95 CAD (+121.8%) |
| 12 Months | 0.14 CAD (-67.6%) | 0.43 CAD | 1.33 CAD (+208.4%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 112.6%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →