▲ Trend: Uptrend
Price is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day averages, each stacked above the next — a classic technical uptrend structure.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | $378.01 (-8.3%) | $412.00 | $449.05 (+9.0%) |
| 3 Months | $354.92 (-13.9%) | $412.00 | $478.26 (+16.1%) |
| 6 Months | $333.65 (-19.0%) | $412.00 | $508.74 (+23.5%) |
| 12 Months | $305.74 (-25.8%) | $412.00 | $555.19 (+34.8%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 29.8%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →