● Trend: Below long-term trend
Price sits below its 200-day average, but the shorter-term averages are not cleanly aligned above/below it.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | 6.06 CAD (-14.9%) | 7.12 CAD | 8.37 CAD (+17.5%) |
| 3 Months | 5.38 CAD (-24.4%) | 7.12 CAD | 9.42 CAD (+32.3%) |
| 6 Months | 4.79 CAD (-32.7%) | 7.12 CAD | 10.57 CAD (+48.5%) |
| 12 Months | 4.07 CAD (-42.8%) | 7.12 CAD | 12.46 CAD (+74.9%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 55.9%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →