● Trend: Above long-term trend
Price sits above its 200-day average, but the shorter-term averages are not cleanly aligned above/below it.
| Horizon | Bear case (−1σ) | Base case | Bull case (+1σ) |
|---|
| 1 Month | 0.07 CAD (-2.9%) | 0.07 CAD | 0.07 CAD (+3.0%) |
| 3 Months | 0.07 CAD (-4.9%) | 0.07 CAD | 0.07 CAD (+5.1%) |
| 6 Months | 0.07 CAD (-6.9%) | 0.07 CAD | 0.08 CAD (+7.3%) |
| 12 Months | 0.06 CAD (-9.6%) | 0.07 CAD | 0.08 CAD (+10.6%) |
Statistical, not machine-learning: a random-walk (no assumed drift) volatility model built from this ticker's own realized price history, plus a purely descriptive moving-average trend read. Illustrative only — not a price target and not financial advice. The bear and bull cases sit one standard deviation (1σ) below and above today's price, a range that covers about 68% of the outcomes the model treats as plausible, not a 68% chance of either case. Annualized volatility used: 10.0%, blended from this ticker's own 3-month and 1-year realized price history. Base case is deliberately flat — this quantifies a possible range, not a directional prediction.
See the full model, including wider (≈95%) bands →